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Week Ahead
Short Thanksgiving week, slightly positive for equities, and slightly negative for bonds. Yields recovered some of the ground lost the week before. Watch out for US GDP on Thursday, and Powell’s speech on Friday. Keep a long position in equities (with a 3% weekly stop), and start purchasing some bonds (max 10% of invested capital).…
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AI: Beyond the Hype! Interview with our Chief Equity Strategist G. Vintani!
Equity investors’ belief in the transformative power of AI has been giving a boost to long/short equity hedge funds ChatGPT, a chatbot developed by Open AI, captured investor imagination and triggered a phenomenal rally in technology stocks in H1 2023. With Intelligence’s latest hedge fund strategy report, which examined the performance of long/short equity funds…
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Christian, markets first! Investors have been jittery since the start of 2022, with many experts predicting an economic recession, some even warning of a “Minsky moment.” Yet, risk assets have shown surprising resilience, climbing a wall of worry. What’s your assessment? Where are we in the credit cycle? First, let’s define what a “credit cycle”…
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Positive week for equities and bonds, with rates down after the surprising US CPI. The brave and not-so-brave could now invest in equities (with a 3% weekly stop), and start purchasing some bonds (max 10% of invested capital). Italy’s outlook raised by Moody’s is positive. Short week due to Thanksgiving, but watch out for Nvidia’s…
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Yields on the long bonds are falling and off their highs, particularly after a benign CPI and PPI. This has prompted a rally of both bonds and equities and completely wiped out any chances that the Fed might hike again in December and in January (the CME FedWatch tool has an almost perfect consensus –…
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Positive week for Equities, with rates slightly up and bonds slightly down. Two hawkish speeches by Governor Powell threw the spanner in the works, but the Fed should indeed be on hold. For the bravest of you, it could make sense to deepen a toe in Equities, with a 3% weekly stop loss. Watch out…
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